内容摘要： 自从1953年第一次全国人口普查和民族识别工作开展以来，各民族人口的数量规模及其增减变化开始进入民族研究的视野.从人口普查数据的统计观察与云南少数民族人口数量变动的历史脉络来看，云南各民族人口的数量变动有三个特征：一是云南各民族人口的数量规模参差不齐；二是云南各民族人口的增长速度快慢不均；三是一些少数民族人口增长出现超“常规”的大幅度波动.各少数民族人口增长的不同因素包括内在导因与外在差异，受经济、文化、政策三个因素影响，非自然变动、自然增长成为不同历史时期云南少数民族人口增长的两个关键指针，但在未来，云南少数民族人口的自然增长因素作用将趋于稳定，而非自然增长因素作用在一系列民族政策“利好”作用的诱导下还将有可能放大，甚至再度成为部分少数民族人口增长的主导因素。

Abstract: Since the first census and classification of ethnic groups in 1953 in China, the number and changes of population of all ethnic groups have received ethnological studies. From the obtained data, the changes of population of the ethnic groups in Yunnan Province have the following three features ： Firstly, the population of the ethnic groups in Yunnan varies. Secondly, the population growth of the ethnic groups in Yunnan also varies. Thirdly, some minority groups have experienced ＂abnormal＂ population growth. The relevant factors are related to their economy, culture and policy as well as natural and human influence. In the future, the natural growth of the minority population will become stable while human factors like favorable policies may become the dominant factor for their population growth.

关键词：云南少数民族人口;数量增长;人口普查数据;因素;

作者：罗淳(云南大学人口研究所), 罗辉(云南大学发展研究院)

来源： 《云南民族大学学报：哲学社会科学版》 2013年 第6期

中图分类号：C922